It was really interesting to read this thread from beginning. If someone has time to simply print all the pages analyse the information, and interpret in a graphical or written form - we can easily see what has exactly happened over past year and a half.
Some members on the website tried to stay positive and saying in mid of 2010 that by end of Q4 2010 the prices will rise again, it is clearly evident this is not happening, in fact its the opposite.
Some members also mentioned the word "recover" or "dubai will recover" - I am interested to understand what do you really mean ? are you implying the prices of real estate will go up to levels of mid 2008 ? or are you saying prices will stabilise ? 2 completely different things.
Whats more, when someone says "Dubai will succeed in recovering its real estate crisis and it's already striving hard for it" - so you are trying to say that Dubai will succeed in filling up all the apartments in Discover Gardens, Al Khail Gate, International City, Sports City, Motor City, DSO, JVT, JLT, DIP, All Villa projects.
We are talking about an inflow of huge amount of expatriates and even if this happens will the infrastructure be able to support this inflow?!! and even if it does where will they all work. This means that X number of jobs must be created- in turn this means that x number of businesses must open up and many huge companies - corporations are cutting down on costs and not running to open new offices in Dubai. Perhaps slowly but it will not be a boom. This all seems common sense.
Also, when someone says that things are getting better in R/E and prices are going up please do your research and not by looking at Gulf-News price listings or dubizzle- because they don't indicate the market value a property might have - they are simply a figure that a seller wants.
Based on research done by Landmark Advisory by 2012 the prices will further drop 15-20 % due to the additional supply of approximately 50,000 Units beginning of next year. More importantly I feel the prices will stabilise or reach the bottom at some point but it will definitely take time and an assumption can be made that it will not happen in the next year or so.
Cheers.
Rus
P.S. off the topic, As we move into 2011, I honestly wish everyone a more happier year.