Interesting survey results............ Property prices ‘distorted by local factors’ By Charles Charalambous and Sebastian Heller
Published on February 11, 2010
THE HIGH prices of property in Cyprus – especially houses compared to apartments – are caused by a range of distortions in the local market, according to views canvassed by the Cyprus Mail.
According to the first results of the new quarterly Cyprus Property Price Index (PPI),launched by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) Cyprus two weeks ago, low yields – the annual rental income from a property compared to its market value – strongly suggest that the market is overvalued.
Professor Patrick McAllister of the School of Real Estate and Planning at the University of Reading (UK),who was one of two academics commissioned by RICS Cyprus to develop the methodology underpinning the PPI, said at the index’s launch:
“What is striking is that yields on commercial property are quite low by European standards, but also hugely variable, even within Cyprus.
“Yields on residential property, for example 1.7 per cent in Nicosia, are also extremely low. These incredibly low yields suggest that people pay over fifty times the rent [to purchase] a property. That would be a strong signal of a market being overvalued.”
Yield is just one of many tools that can be used to provide a snapshot of the strength of a property market at a given moment. If a property is valued at €100,000 and its rental income per year comes to €5,000, then the yield on that property is five per cent.
The results for the first quarterly RICS PPI gave an average unit price of €523,438 for a medium-quality three-bedroom, semi-detached, 250sqm house with a garden in Nicosia. An average monthly rent of €729 for such a house would give a yield of just under 1.7 per cent, in other words one would have to pay around fifty times the annual rental income to buy it.
On the other hand, the average unit price of €171,155 for a medium-quality two-bedroom, 85sqm apartment in Nicosia would give a yield of 3.9 per cent, based on an average monthly rent of €560. This is much closer to the normal EU range of 4-7 per cent yield, suggesting that it is mid-range houses that are over-valued rather than all residential property.
Property prices ?distorted by local factors? - Cyprus Mail